Dear climate-l readers,
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and NewClimate Institute has published a report entitled “Exploring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global emission projections: Assessment of green versus non-green recovery ”.
This study published by PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and the NewClimate Institute assesses the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated recovery measures on emissions out to 2030 and global emission pathways towards meeting the Paris climate goals. Due to the high uncertainty surrounding the course of the pandemic and its impact on CO2 emissions, we only present ‘what-if’ scenarios, based on explorative calculations for several potential emission pathways and factors that could affect their course, including rebound effects.
The IMF economic scenarios published in April 2020 were used as the point of reference. Furthermore, we review and summarise the most recent insights (up to June 2020) published in the literature on post-COVID emissions projections and green recovery trajectories, and provide a framework for analysing the ‘greenness’ of recovery packages, using Germany as a case study.
The report can be downloaded at:
https://www.pbl.nl/en/
https://www.pbl.nl/sites/
Regards,
Michel den Elzen
Senior Climate Policy analyst
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Postbus 30314 | 2500 GH The Hague | The Netherlands
E Michel.denElzen@pbl.nl | I www.pbl.nl/en
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