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A War Reporter Covers “The End of Ice” — and It Will Change the Way You Think About Climate Catastrophe

“It’s possible to reach a place of acceptance and inner peace, while enduring the grief and suffering that are inevitable as the biosphere declines.” 

May 4 2019.

Photos: Getty Images (2); Animation: The Intercept


Focusing on breath and gratitude, Dahr Jamail’s latest book, “The End of Ice: Bearing Witness and Finding Meaning in the Path of Climate Disruption,” stitches together personal introspection and gut-wrenching interviews with leading climate experts. The rapidly receding glaciers of Denali National Park, home to the highest peak in North America, inspired the book’s title. “Seven years of climbing in Alaska had provided me with a front-row seat from where I could witness the dramatic impact of human-caused climate disruption,” Jamail writes.

With vividly descriptive storytelling, Jamail pushes further north into the Arctic Circle where warming is occurring at double speed. He surveys rapid changes in the Pribilof Islands, where Indigenous communities have had to contend with die-offs affecting seabirds, fur seals, fish, and more — a collapsing food web. The story continues in the fragile Great Barrier Reef, utterly ravaged by the warming ocean. South Florida is faring no better: Jamail finds that 2.46 million of the state’s acreage will be submerged within his lifetime. Experts are aghast everywhere Jamail visits. In the Amazon, rich in biodiversity, the consequences are especially enormous.

Describing the current state of the planet, Jamail likens it to someone in hospice care. The global mean temperature is already 1 degree Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Not half a decade ago, leading climate scientist James Hansen warned that that 1 degree would usher in a crisis of sea-level rise, melting Arctic ice, and extreme weather. He concluded that the goal of limiting global warming to only 2 degrees was “very dangerous.” Accelerated melting in the Arctic continues to surpass conservative predictions. Jamail reminds us that “as rapidly as global temperatures are increasing, so are temperature predictions. The conservative International Energy Agency has predicted a possible worst-case scenario of a 3.5°C increase by 2035.”

Little has worked to inspire action. There is perhaps no better example of climate science being disregarded than a climate change denier being elected president of the United States.

The threat of looming biosphere apocalypse is deeply troubling, panic-inducing, and this all-encompassing environmental, economic, and spiritual problem leaves one feeling helpless and grief-stricken. “The End of Ice” takes on the full weight of the catastrophe at hand. Jamail carries the reader’s emotional pain by acutely expressing his own.

“The End of Ice: Bearing Witness and Finding Meaning in the Path of Climate Disruption” by Dahr Jamail.

 
Photo: Courtesy of The New Press

"A willingness to live without hope allows me to accept the heartbreaking truth of our situation, however, calamitous it is. Grieving for what is happening to the planet also now brings me gratitude for the smallest, most mundane things," Jamail explains. "I have found that it's possible to reach a place of acceptance and inner peace, while enduring the grief and suffering that are inevitable as the biosphere declines."

“The End of Ice” readers won’t find calls for technology-based solutions, politicians, mitigating emissions, or the Green New Deal to save us.

“This global capitalist experiment, this experiment of industrialization and burning fossil fuels rampantly is an utter, abject failure,” Jamail told The Intercept. He believes it is time to start adapting. We should act like the climate crisis has arrived and, most significantly, reconnect to the planet. Jamail spoke to The Intercept about his latest book and dealing with the grief of reporting from the frontlines of the war in Iraq to the frontlines of climate disruption. The interview that follows has been edited for clarity.

Dahr Jamail reads an excerpt from his book “The End of Ice” on the Intercepted podcast beginning at 54:57.

Your book really blindsided me in a way that I didn’t expect. I was thinking it would be another dry, hard to read, statistic-heavy work, but instead you told stories that were really rich with genuine interactions and emotions and talked about your own emotional state while you were reporting on all of this. So just tell me about that approach to writing and how you felt during these interviews with all of these scientists and researchers.

To go out and go to these frontline places like the Great Barrier Reef or Denali or St. Paul Island in the Pribilof, the Everglades down in South Florida, places that were being hit the hardest, the fastest — I knew that I would have a very personal and emotional reaction to that. And so all these places like the Great Barrier Reef and Denali and a couple of others that I have long-term intimate relationships with, I’d watch them over time. Most people aren’t going to get to go to most of these places. So it was really my effort to go try to bring that to them through my writing the best that I could.

I went out and was awestruck, completely blown away by the majesty of these places, getting these moments of: Look at this incredible planet. Look at these hanging glaciers on Denali. Look at these fish at the Great Barrier Reef. And then simultaneously, the heartbreak of going back to a glacier and the whole glacier’s just gone and feeling that gut punch.

That’s what it felt like. Or going back to the Great Barrier Reef: It’s a World Heritage Site. It’s this wonder of the natural world. And snorkeling over areas where all you can see is bleached white coral and knowing most of that’s going to die and having it be utterly silent, devoid of fish life, and feeling that. So it was this simultaneous experience of awe and gratitude for this planet and then heartbreak over what’s happening to it.

Explain that term you use for climate change, which was once “global warming”; you’re calling it “anthropogenic climate disruption.” So why are you making that distinction?

I use the term “human-caused or anthropogenic climate disruption” instead of climate change or global warming for a couple of different reasons. The first and foremost is, it’s the most scientifically accurate because by essentially geoengineering the climate, which is what we’ve done by injecting so much CO2 into the atmosphere, we have disrupted the climate. And then the other reason is that there was fossil fuel influence on climate change decades ago for that to become the more commonly used moniker descriptor: “change” because it’s not as alarming as climate crisis or climate disruption or climate catastrophe.

One of the things that you talk about in the book a lot is the disconnection that we as a human species are having from the planet at this point.

Well, it’s Western colonial society. It essentially trains us to be disconnected from the planet. It doesn’t predispose us to go and live directly in relationship with the Earth. We don’t have to go to a stream to go get our water. We don’t have to go hunt or grow our food if we don’t want to. It’s the opposite of indigenous lifestyle, traditionally. So that’s why I believe the fundamental cause of climate disruption is our inherent disconnect from the planet. “Our” being those of us living, most of us living in Western industrialized society. And the solution is first, we have to start with reconnecting. And I think that’s why we don’t see climate disruption in the headlines on a regular basis because so many of us are living in big cities, getting our food from grocery stores; our water, turn on the tap. There’s your water.

We can ignore it or at least pretend to ignore it and not feel like these impacts are directly affecting us. And for a lot of us still living in that bubble, we can still get away with that. I think that’s changing before our very eyes, but I think that really is the root cause of this crisis — is this disconnect. Because if we were living closer to the earth, like indigenous people did for thousands and thousands of years, you’re so finely attuned to the weather. And when the rains come and when the droughts come and being able to read things like that and watching what the animals do and making decisions based on that — you’re going to take a lot better care of the place where you live, if you’re living that much more closely to it. And obviously you’re going to not take as good of care of it if you’re completely disconnected from it.

So just to go back to the first book that you wrote about reporting from the frontlines in Iraq to now in this book reporting from the frontlines of climate change: Those are really tough topics to sit with and deal with for a long time.

As devastating as reporting on Iraq was to me, personally — war is an extremely hard thing to live with and figure out how to contend with and then dealing with the PTSD and all of this that comes with it. And that’s something then that I get to live with for the rest of my life and anyone who’s been in war does. It never goes away; you just learn to live with it.

But the climate crisis and this book has been that but on a deeper level because it really regularly kicks in fight or flight, for example of, “Oh my God, we’re losing 2.4 percent of our insect population, 2.4 percent of the insect biomass of the planet annually. That means on this current trajectory, assuming it doesn’t accelerate, that means no more insects within a hundred years. No more insects pretty much means no more humans.” And so that feeling that comes up knowing that there’s a fear. There’s a panic. There’s a fight or flight. Where do I go? I can’t go anywhere. This is our only planet and so all those feelings and that grief that comes up, you’re going to get to deal with that.

And so if this is what’s happening to our very planet, then there’s going to be an ongoing dance with grief that comes up of sadness, of rage at the people responsible, of this kind of internal schizophrenia of, “Yeah, and I still drive, and I still fly, and yet I’m writing this book about the climate crisis.” All of us living embedded in this Western civilization, that’s a dance that we all get to contend with on a daily basis if we really start to tease out our own feelings.

So I want to get into some of the details on different chapters in the book. Can you talk to me a little bit about the glacier melt in the Arctic regions that you were in and what sort of future we’re looking at in that ecosystem?

If we look at what’s happening to glaciers around the globe as the planet has warmed up considerably, we are losing ice at ever accelerating rates. And so one of the things I did is, I went out on the Gulkana Glacier in the Alaska range with the U.S. Geological Survey crew who do an annual mass balance survey. They basically go out on the ice and dig pits and take measurements and plant stakes and use radar and measure how much ice is being lost on an annual basis. There’s several of these around North America that they measure and, in that way, have a very, very accurate chronicle, statistically, of how much ice is being lost over time.

Essentially, what we know is that glaciers are on track, for example, in the contiguous 48 states that at current trajectories and current emission rates, if these continue, there will be probably no glaciers anywhere left in the contiguous 48 states by 2100. I went out into the field in Glacier National Park with Dr. Dan Fagre, and he told me that essentially Glacier National Park will have no functional glaciers by 2030. So that’s less than 11 years from now.

And then if we zoom out of the Hindu Kush region of the Himalaya where it’s heavily glaciated: There’s a massive ice field. Seven of Asia’s biggest rivers are sourced there. That ice is on trajectory to go away, possibly even completely, by 2100. In which case, the 1.5 billion people that get their water for drinking and agriculture from those waters, where do they go? What do they do? What happens to the areas where they migrate because they’ll have to migrate? We can’t live someplace where there’s not potable water and water for irrigating crops. So when glaciers go away, it’s a big deal to humans. And a lot of people don’t think about this.

Can you tell me about your trip to the Great Barrier Reef and what you saw there? There’s something to be said about the coral reef phenomenon in talking about climate change because it is one of the things that people can connect to in an emotional way. Human beings hate seeing beautiful things get destroyed. We really don’t like it. So as a visual person, I think that’s an interesting way to approach climate change: Show people the coral reefs and what we’re losing.

At the risk of sounding cheesy or cliche, it’s part of that reconnection process to the planet. And you know, when I wrote this book, I hoped that if I had one goal of the book was that someone would read it and then put it down and go outside to wherever their favorite place is to connect into the Earth — whether it’s a park or a river or the ocean or the mountains or pasture or what have you — because we’ve forgotten. We have forgotten. Look at this incredible planet where we live. Just go out and look at a tree with birds in it and just watch them for a couple of minutes. Look at all of this. Nature is doing all of this by itself.

And then look at what we’ve done, and look at what our actions are causing. We have to take that in, and I think that’s where we get back into this dance of the beauty and the awe and the amazement and the love simultaneous with, “Look at how shockingly fast we’re losing it all.” I mean, because we are losing it. We have failed. This experiment, this global capitalist experiment, this experiment of industrialization and burning fossil fuels rampantly is an utter, abject failure. And all of the global governments — of course, some are doing it a little less worse than others — but at this point, all of the global governments have failed abjectly in responding to this crisis accordingly. And so again, all of that puts the onus back on each of us now. How are we individually going to respond?

I grew up in Florida, in Sarasota. It’s a coastal city on the Gulf of Mexico. And I’ve essentially had this understanding my whole life that one day, probably within my lifetime, my hometown will be completely underwater. So it’s absurd: the fact that, one, we have Donald Trump and a climate-change-denying administration, but two, on a state level, we have climate-change-denying leadership at the top in a state that will be completely, wholly affected by climate change more so maybe than any other state. But can you just tell me about what you learned in Miami and in the Everglades?

That particular chapter working on sea level rise in Florida was — to put it as clearly and bluntly as I can: It was a mindfuck.

It was so incredible to be in this place that is ground zero for sea level rise. It’s happening more intensely and faster there as it is anywhere else in the world, and you also have some of the leading sea level rise experts on the planet. They’re out of University of Miami — Ben Kirtman and Harold Wanless, both of whom I interviewed for the book. And there I am in Miami Beach going around with the then-city engineer Bruce Mowry, who’s actively working to raise several of the streets three feet, knowing that’s not enough, but, “OK, this is going to buy us enough time. We’re going to save Miami Beach. We can try to mitigate this.” Conveniently ignoring things like well, it’s actually the whole city is based on what was essentially a mangrove swamp. There’s this porous limestone underneath it that — guess what —water comes up through it.

There’s already large areas in Miami Beach and some areas of Miami that flood in the middle of a sunny day, in the middle of a drought, and people are just putting on their rubber boots and walking through it. There’s fish swimming at times literally across the roads. And so you’re living on ground zero for sea level rise with this fossil-fuel-funded leadership. Then simultaneous to that, you have scientists like Dr. Wanless who told me, “Look, I know for a fact that Marco Rubio is aware of what I’m telling you about how much sea level rise is already baked in.” It’s not out of the realm of possibility we could see 10 feet by 2050. We could see far more than that by 2100. I mean, South Florida is basically gone. All those millions of people, and all of that infrastructure, and all of those toxic sites that have to be cleaned up, and the Turkey Point nuclear plant just south of Miami at six feet elevation — all of that has to be decommissioned and moved to higher ground. All of the archives, hospitals, colleges, everything, right? And that needs to start yesterday. And instead, you have this denial. Nothing’s happening.

I want to talk about one moment in the book that completely gutted me, and I hadn’t heard this information anywhere else. You were speaking to, as you mentioned, Dr. Harold Wanless in Miami, and you write about the conversation: “In the past, atmospheric CO2 varied from roughly 180 to 280 parts per million as the Earth shifted from glacial to interglacial periods. This 100 ppm fluctuation was linked with about a 100-foot change in sea level.” And so that means we’ve gone from 280 ppm to our current level, right now, of 410 ppm of carbon in the atmosphere. So what does that mean?

That means that we have, at least in theory, 130 feet of sea level rise that’s already baked into the system. 130 feet means goodbye, Florida. Well, basically all of South Florida. That means goodbye to every major coastal city on the planet. And then where do those people go? What happens to those economies? How do we relocate all those people? I mean, this means literally a completely different planet by itself, and that’s what’s there.

And we have to remember too that in conjunction with that, there’s a NASA report that I discuss in the book that discusses how back in the Pliocene, roughly 3 million years ago when there was roughly the same amount of CO2 in the atmosphere as there is now because of us: Sea levels were minimum 20 meters higher than they are today. The average global temperature was 3 to 4°C higher than it is now, and there were parts of the globe where it was 10°C higher.

We’re seeing geologic change happening on human timescale. We’re looking at change faster than what happened during the Permian mass extinction, which up to now was the single deadliest mass extinction event in the planet’s history. 252 million years ago, 90 percent of all life on Earth went extinct, and we have injected CO2 in the atmosphere at a rate dramatically faster than what caused that mass extinction event.

An aerial view of homes destroyed by the Camp Fire on Feb. 11, 2019, in Paradise, Calif.

 
Photo: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Let’s talk about wildfires. You wrote, “Climate disruption is already responsible for nearly half of the forest area burns across the western United States over the last 30 years.” That’s pretty shocking.

It is. I live in the Pacific Northwest. You say that, most people picture rainforests, lots of rain, wet Seattle, gray, all of this. And yet we have already, as we speak right now on Earth Day, have had 50 wildfires in Washington State, where I live. That’s normally the number we have by late August and into October, which is peak wildfire season. There are towns that are literally becoming unlivable. If you have respiratory issues, you can’t live in a town that’s completely engulfed in wildfire smoke for weeks on end.

It’s truly incredible when you look at the fact that once we hit 3 degrees Celsius warming (we’re at 1.1 degrees Celsius now), many scientists tell us that if we stopped all fossil fuel emissions on a dime, we have a minimum of 3 degrees Celsius warming already baked into the system. That means a sextupling of the amount of wildfires in the American West. If you look at what’s happened to California, just as an example, over the last couple of years, multiply that by six.

So we are right there on the edge of these impacts. But one thing that I want to remind folks: It is easy to think in the United States, “Oh, well, so much of this is happening so much worse in other countries.” Well, if you live in Paradise, California, there’s no more future tense about the climate crisis to you. If you’ve just lost everything and you know someone who’s died and if you made it out of that alive, barely: You just lived through the apocalypse.

Talk about the emotional parallels of working both as a war correspondent and covering climate change. I believe you described it as a kind of grief.

There is a deep, deep grief that comes up, and the way I’ve written about it in the book is I shared a story about a dear friend of mine: Duane French, a quadriplegic man that I used to work for, as his personal assistant, up in Alaska when I first moved up there in the mid-’90s. And a few years ago, he got pneumonia, and I thought for sure, “He’s dead.” He was in the ICU for weeks on end, and none of the drugs were working, and I really believed I was in a hospice situation with him. And so all that mattered to me was to really be as present as I could and appreciate each moment that I had while he was still here.

So what can I do? Where does my motivation come from if things really do appear to be lost? That’s where I had a big conversation with a Cherokee medicine man named Stan Rushworth, actually. He reminded me of the difference between the colonial settler mindset of, “We have rights,” versus the indigenous philosophy of, “We’re all born onto the planet with obligations.” The two big ones that he shared with me are: an obligation to take care of, and be a steward of, the planet; and an obligation to serve future generations and make my decisions based on what’s going to take the best care of them. And so no matter how dire things look today, if I get up and I ask myself, “OK, how can I be of best service today to the planet and to the children?” Then I have my work cut out for me, and there is no shortage of things to do. And I am morally obliged to do everything in my power possible to try to help somehow, whatever that’s going to look like.

So at most points in these conversations about climate, the conversation turns to hope for the future at the end, but I don’t really want to talk about hope, you know, in the sense of that meaning solutions. I want to know how you’ve been dealing with the weight of this material and how you’ve personally come to define hope.

Right, I had to really tackle the hope versus hopelessness paradigm. To sum it up, upfront, I quote Vaclav Havel who said, “Hope is not the conviction that something will turn out well but the certainty that something is worth doing no matter how it turns out.” With hope in the context of the climate crisis in these movements: Someone else, or some party, or some movement’s going to do something — even if I’m part of that — and then something in the future is going to happen. And I think it takes us out of ourselves, and it definitely takes us out of the present moment. And right now, in this second, in me, this is where all my agency is. So whatever actions I do right now, that’s what really, really matters, and I have to take full responsibility for that. And I think that’s what I’m getting to: accepting that we have a minimum of 3°C baked into the system. That is absolutely catastrophic. No one’s going to argue how catastrophic that is.

And yes, more is needed. And yes, it looks like all may be lost but I just have to keep coming back to that. What gets me out of bed in the morning, and what are my obligations? And when I come from that place, then I feel actually more passionately about this than ever before and certainly even before I wrote the book.

Contact the author:

(Sources: The Intercept)

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Argentina’s provinces deepen relations with China

As the national government cautiously navigates its relationship with China, Argentina’s subnational powers are using their own ties to nurture development. 

The Quebrada de Humahuaca Solar Train, produced by the Chinese company CRRC Tangshan under a partnership with the government of Argentina’s Jujuy province, operates along a 42-kilometre route in the province’s tourist area. It is the first train line in Latin America to be entirely powered by solar energy and lithium batteries (Image: Mu Yu / Imago / Alamy)

While diplomatic relations between Argentina’s national government and China remain ambiguous, provincial leaders have been bypassing Buenos Aires to bolster links with Beijing. These subnational efforts are mobilising investment opportunities in natural resources, energy, infrastructure and trade expansion.

They have been yielding varying degrees of success as the provinces navigate several challenges, including a lack of China knowledge among provincial leaders, as well as preparation on the part of trade missions headed to China. Economic constraints at the national level also continue to cast a shadow.

An ambiguous relationship

During his 2022-2023 election campaign, Argentina’s president Javier Milei said he would not maintain diplomatic ties with China, dismissing it as “business with communists”. Upon assuming the presidency in December 2023, Milei cancelled Argentina’s entry into the Brics bloc (made up of 10 countries including Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) at the eleventh hour. As Milei’s term has progressed, however, pragmatism has recomposed the China-Argentina relationship.

During his first year in office, Milei benefitted from several of China’s actionsFor example, following initial hesitancy over the new government’s stance, in June 2024 China accepted the renewal of its multi-billion-dollar currency swap line, which had been negotiated with Argentina’s previous administration. This allowed Argentina to delay the repayment of USD 5 billion in dues. Milei later declared China “a very interesting trading partner, because they don’t demand anything”. And during Brazil’s G20 summit in November, Milei met China’s president Xi Jinping for the first time, bolstering their relations.

However, the close ties between Milei and US president Donald Trump cast doubt upon the extent of Argentina’s near-term relations with China. For example, the new Atucha III nuclear power plant uses Chinese technology, and so may be seen to conflict with US interests. An existing Chinese aerospace base in the western province of Neuquén, and the suggestion that Huawei could work on Argentina’s 5G network, have thrown up similar tensions.

Provincial pragmatism

Dialogue Earth spoke to Stella Maris Juste, an international relations expert and researcher at Argentina’s National Scientific and Technical Research Council (Conicet). She says that the relationship between the provinces and China “has managed to weather the shifts in national politics and even in the provinces themselves, not only during the presidency of Milei, but also previously under [former president] Macri”.

Juste chalks this down to complementary interests: “The provinces need to attract investment, create jobs and improve infrastructure, while China seeks to improve access to key natural resources, such as lithium and other minerals, and also greater penetration of renewable energy and ports industries.”

In 2024, provinces’ finances became more strained as the state’s defunding measures grew. Total transfers to provincial and municipal governments fell by 19% year on year, according to the congressional budget office.

“In the provinces, China has found reliable interlocutors to sustain the relationship in these turbulent times,” explains Diego Cagliolo, who manages Asia relations at Argentina Global, a sustainable development NGO. “That is why Wang Wei – the Chinese ambassador – visits the provinces, and the governors in turn visit the [Chinese] embassy.”

Indeed, throughout 2024, there were numerous overtures from provincial leadership to China, usually via Argentina’s Chinese embassy.

For example, in August, the vice-governor of Catamarca province toured Zijin Mining’s copper facilities, including its clean energy and battery research centre.

In September, Córdoba’s governor led the Institutional and Commercial Linkage Meeting between his province and Chinese businesses, where Ambassador Wang announced a Chinese car company’s interest in establishing a factory in Córdoba. Representatives of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and China Energy International Group attended.

In October, the governor of Santa Cruz visited China, signing an agreement with fishing company Hong Dong to develop fisheries in his province. Subsequently, a delegation from the Fujian Chamber of Commerce visited Santa Cruz to discuss a coal export agreement with Chinese state-owned coal mining firm YCRT.

Wang also visited La Pampa province to meet its governor at the end of May, accompanied by representatives of companies including Shanghai Electric Power, wind turbine manufacturer Goldwind, and ICBC.

The governor of Buenos Aires province met with Wang in February after agreeing in November 2023 to a USD 1.25 billion investment by China Potassium Chemical Group. The company is set to construct two fertiliser plants in the port city of Bahía Blanca. In addition, investments in Buenos Aires’ renewable energy, agricultural development and ports have been discussed with officials from Sichuan province, and the Chinese agricultural machinery firm Ruiyuan Holdings is considering an investment. In November, Wang was in Neuquén province to meet its governor. Also in attendance were representatives from large Chinese companies covering construction, railways and roads, engineering and equipment manufacture, oil and gas, and telecommunications.

Multi-level relations

“China has a long tradition of establishing multi-level relations with countries, including subnational agreements, but also through links with universities and think-tanks,” explains Oriana Cherini, an international relations researcher at Conicet. “In this context, China found Argentina’s provinces to be fundamental and stable allies.”

According to 2023 data compiled by Argentina’s Rosario Stock Exchange, China was the primary international trading partner of Jujuy, Chaco, Santiago del Estero, Catamarca, La Pampa and Entre Ríos. It was also the second-biggest trading partner of Santa Fe and Buenos Aires provinces.

Case study: Jujuy

The province of Jujuy in the north-west is often cited as a test case for Argentina’s subnational relationship with China. It is home to one of China’s biggest renewable energy projects in Argentina, the 315-megawatt Cauchari solar park. The project was mostly financed by the Export-Import Bank of China, and built by PowerChina, Shanghai Electric Construction and eastern China’s Talesun.

Pablo Palomares, Jujuy’s secretary of international relations, calls Cauchari a substantial step forward for the province in its relationship with China. “Jujuy knew how to approach and respond… in terms of commitment and seriousness,” he says. “A good project was drawn up, which is why it was able to overcome [Argentina’s] macroeconomic crisis.”

This relationship has also been reflected in other types of agreements, such as the Safe and Interconnected Jujuy initiative. Signed off in 2019, this programme involves the Chinese telecommunications company ZTE providing Jujuy with security cameras, fibre-optic cables, software and hardware.

In 2020, expert in China-Latin America relations, Margaret Myers, noted: “Chinese officials and other actors made upwards of 13 trips to Jujuy province, and Jujuy and Argentine national government officials made at least 11 visits to China” in the preceding five years.

Key to the relationship between Jujuy and China is lithium. For example, the Cauchari-Olaroz salt lake lithium project is controlled by Ganfeng Lithium, a company based in east China. The project has a production capacity of 40,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent per year.

Another project Jujuy embarked upon with China is its solar-powered tourist train, which runs through the Quebrada de Humahuaca Valley. And in May 2024, a diplomatic delegation from Jujuy signed an agreement with Gotion, headquartered in the eastern Chinese city of Hefei, to build a 200-megawatt solar plant in southern Jujuy.

Lithium and other minerals

Argentina’s strong federal character extends to the provinces being in control of their own natural resources. This means the strong growth experienced by the lithium sector and the rest of the metalliferous mining industry is having a direct impact on subnational relationships. This contrasts with Chile, for example, where the national government ultimately controls natural resources.

PowerChina engineers inspect solar panels at a photovoltaic plant in the town of Cafayate in Salta, north-west Argentina. Apart from solar, the province has seen Chinese investment in industries such as lithium in recent years (Image: Martin Zabala / Imago / Alamy)

Other mining provinces besides Jujuy are also experiencing more dynamic links with China. In neighbouring Salta, the Mariana lithium-potassium brine project, under construction since 2022, is controlled by Ganfeng Lithium.

Ganfeng also part-owns the Pozuelos-Pastos Grandes lithium project in Salta, which is in the feasibility stage; in September, Ganfeng’s home province, Jiangxi, signed a letter of intent to deepen its cooperation with Salta. In addition, China is participating in lithium extraction at Salta’s Arizaro and Diablillo salt flats through Tibet Summit Resources, while Revotech Asia owns the Sal de los Ángeles project at Diablillo.

In Catamarca, north-western Argentina, a large lithium project is being developed: Tres Quebradas, owned by Zijin Mining. Catamarca has also been discussing improvements to the San Francisco Pass with Zijin, which would facilitate lithium exports from Coquimbo port in Chile.

Catamarca Mining and Energy (Camyen), which is owned by the provincial government, announced in 2022 that PowerChina would finance four solar plants in the province. Built by Shanghai Electric Power Construction, they will have a combined capacity of 600 megawatts. Construction is expected to begin this year.

The governor of Santa Fe, Maximiliano Pullaro, meets with the Chinese ambassador to Argentina, Wang Wei, at China’s diplomatic office in Buenos Aires in July 2024 to strengthen bilateral relations and promote the province’s exports. China was Santa Fe’s second-biggest trading partner in 2023 (Image: Provincia de Sante Fe, CC BY SA)

In Argentina’s west-central San Juan province, China’s Jinko Solar developed the Iglesia-Estancia Guañizuil solar park, inaugurated in 2019. In addition, the Chinese company Shandong Gold has a 50% stake in the province’s Veladero gold and silver mine.

The challenges

Diego Guelar, the Argentine ambassador to China from 2016-2019, believes the provinces have a fundamental role to play in making an investment attractive to China. He says they have the capacity to provide local support and insights, helping to smoothen cooperation. However, he adds that “a large number of trade and business missions from provinces [that go] to China are not properly prepared”.

Guelar says while the provinces have control over their resources and foreign policy, and that China is generally interested in investing and trading with Argentina, getting projects off the ground is complex: “It requires prior preparation and, in many cases, sovereign guarantees from [Argentina’s national government], which also need to be negotiated. But it also requires knowledge of how the Chinese operate. This expertise is often lacking in the leadership at the national level, let alone in the provinces.”

From a more structural point of view, Stella Maris Juste sees the relational asymmetries deepening between Argentina and China at the subnational level, to China’s advantage: “The flipside of investments in territorial connectivity, energy production and currency swaps can be seen in trade deficits, extractive agriculture, the difficulty of expanding the basket of exportable value-added products, and financial dependence.”

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